Jodey C. Arrington

In the 2024 House race for TX-19, Jodey C. Arrington (R) won with 80.7% of the vote, defeating Nathan Lewis (I) who received 10.3%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Jodey C. Arrington's 70.4-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Jodey C. Arrington benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for TX-19, Jodey C. Arrington (R) defeated Nathan Lewis (I) 80.3% to 19.7%. Jodey C. Arrington received 152,321 votes compared to 37,360 for Nathan Lewis, a dominant 60.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Jodey C. Arrington benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Jodey C. Arrington benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for TX-19, Jodey C. Arrington (R) won with 74.8% of the vote, defeating Tom Watson (D) who received 22.9%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Jodey C. Arrington's 51.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Jodey C. Arrington benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for TX-19, Jodey Arrington (R) defeated Miguel Levario (D) 75.2% to 24.8%. Jodey Arrington received 151,946 votes compared to 50,039 for Miguel Levario, a dominant 50.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Jodey Arrington benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Jodey Arrington won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for TX-19, Jodey Arrington (R) won with 86.7% of the vote, defeating Troy Bonar (L) who received 8.5%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Jodey Arrington's 78.1-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Randy Neugebauer (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.