Marsha Blackburn

In the 2024 Senate race for TN Senate seat, Marsha Blackburn (R) won with 63.8% of the vote, defeating Gloria Johnson (D) who received 34.2%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Marsha Blackburn's 29.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Bill Hagerty (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 Senate race for TN Senate seat, Marsha Blackburn (R) won with 54.7% of the vote, defeating Phil Bredesen (D) who received 43.9%. 6 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Marsha Blackburn's 10.8-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Lamar Alexander (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Marsha Blackburn won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for TN-07, Marsha Blackburn (R) won with 72.2% of the vote, defeating Tharon Chandler (D) who received 23.5%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Marsha Blackburn's 48.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Marsha Blackburn benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for TN-07, Marsha Blackburn (R) won with 70.0% of the vote, defeating Daniel Cramer (D) who received 26.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Marsha Blackburn's 43.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Marsha Blackburn benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Marsha Blackburn benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2012 House race for TN-07, Marsha Blackburn (R) won with 71.0% of the vote, defeating Credo Amouzouvik (D) who received 24.0%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Marsha Blackburn's 47.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.