James R. Baird

In the 2024 House race for IN-4, Jim Baird (R) won with 64.8% of the vote, defeating Derrick Holder (D) who received 30.9%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Jim Baird's 33.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Jim Baird benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for IN-4, Jim Baird (R) defeated Roger D. Day (D) 68.2% to 31.8%. Jim Baird received 134,864 votes compared to 62,834 for Roger D. Day, a dominant 36.4-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Jim Baird benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Jim Baird benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for IN-4, Jim Baird (R) defeated Joseph W. Mackey (D) 66.6% to 33.4%. Jim Baird received 225,531 votes compared to 112,984 for Joseph W. Mackey, a dominant 33.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for IN-04, Jim Baird (R) defeated Tobi Beck (D) 64.1% to 35.9%. Jim Baird received 156,539 votes compared to 87,824 for Tobi Beck, a dominant 28.1-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Todd Rokita (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Jim Baird won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).