Tom Cole

In the 2024 House race for OK-4, Tom Cole (R) won with 65.3% of the vote, defeating Mary Brannon (D) who received 28.3%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tom Cole's 37.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Tom Cole benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for OK-4, Tom Cole (R) defeated Mary Brannon (D) 66.8% to 33.3%. Tom Cole received 149,879 votes compared to 74,667 for Mary Brannon, a dominant 33.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Tom Cole benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Tom Cole benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for OK-4, Tom Cole (R) won with 67.8% of the vote, defeating Mary Brannon (D) who received 28.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tom Cole's 39.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for OK-04, Tom Cole (R) won with 63.1% of the vote, defeating Mary Brannon (D) who received 33.0%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tom Cole's 30.1-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Tom Cole benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Tom Cole won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for OK-04, Tom Cole (R) won with 69.6% of the vote, defeating Christina Owen (D) who received 26.1%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tom Cole's 43.5-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Tom Cole benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for OK-04, Tom Cole (R) won with 70.8% of the vote, defeating Bert Smith (D) who received 24.7%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tom Cole's 46.1-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Tom Cole benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Tom Cole benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2012 House race for OK-04, Tom Cole (R) won with 67.9% of the vote, defeating Donna Marie Bebo (D) who received 27.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tom Cole's 40.3-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.