Dan Crenshaw

In the 2024 House race for TX-2, Dan Crenshaw (R) defeated Peter Filler (D) 65.7% to 34.3%. Dan Crenshaw received 214,631 votes compared to 112,252 for Peter Filler, a dominant 31.3-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Dan Crenshaw benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for TX-2, Dan Crenshaw (R) defeated Robin Fulford (D) 65.9% to 34.1%. Dan Crenshaw received 151,791 votes compared to 78,496 for Robin Fulford, a dominant 31.8-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Dan Crenshaw benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Dan Crenshaw benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for TX-2, Dan Crenshaw (R) won with 55.6% of the vote, defeating Sima Ladjevardian (D) who received 42.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Dan Crenshaw's 12.8-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2018 House race for TX-02, Dan Crenshaw (R) won with 52.8% of the vote, defeating Todd Litton (D) who received 45.6%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Dan Crenshaw's 7.3-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Ted Poe (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Dan Crenshaw won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).