Debbie Dingell

In the 2024 House race for MI-6, Debbie Dingell (D) won with 62.0% of the vote, defeating Heather Smiley (R) who received 35.0%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Debbie Dingell's 27.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Debbie Dingell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for MI-6, Debbie Dingell (D) won with 65.9% of the vote, defeating Whittney Williams (R) who received 34.1%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Debbie Dingell's 31.8-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This race flipped the seat from Republican to Democrat. Fred Upton (R) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Democrat, Debbie Dingell won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for MI-12, Debbie Dingell (D) won with 68.1% of the vote, defeating Jeff Jones (R) who received 28.9%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Debbie Dingell's 39.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Debbie Dingell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Debbie Dingell benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2016 House race for MI-12, Debbie Dingell (D) won with 64.3% of the vote, defeating Jeff Jones (R) who received 29.3%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Debbie Dingell's 35.1-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Debbie Dingell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for MI-12, Debbie Dingell (D) won with 65.0% of the vote, defeating Terry Bowman (R) who received 31.3%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Debbie Dingell's 33.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — John D. Dingell (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Debbie Dingell won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Obama was in office).

In the 2012 House race for MI-12, John D. Dingell (D) won with 67.9% of the vote, defeating Cynthia Kallgren (R) who received 29.0%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. John D. Dingell's 39.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.