Adriano Espaillat

In the 2024 House race for NY-13, Adriano Espaillat (D) won with 83.0% of the vote, defeating Ruben D. Vargas (R) who received 14.7%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Adriano Espaillat's 68.4-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Adriano Espaillat benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for NY-13, Adriano Espaillat (D) won with 98.9% of the vote, defeating (O) who received 21.2%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Adriano Espaillat's 77.8-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Adriano Espaillat benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Adriano Espaillat won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for NY-13, Adriano Espaillat (D) won with 79.5% of the vote, defeating Adriano Espaillat (W) who received 11.3%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Adriano Espaillat's 68.1-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Adriano Espaillat benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for NY-13, Adriano Espaillat (D) defeated Jineea Butler (R) 89.8% to 5.0%. Adriano Espaillat received 171,341 votes compared to 9,535 for Jineea Butler, a dominant 84.8-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Adriano Espaillat benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Adriano Espaillat benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2016 House race for NY-13, Adriano Espaillat (D) won with 81.2% of the vote, defeating Blank Vote (O) who received 8.4%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Adriano Espaillat's 72.8-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.