Nicole Malliotakis

In the 2024 House race for NY-11, Nicole Malliotakis (R) won with 58.5% of the vote, defeating Andrea Morse (D) who received 35.8%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Nicole Malliotakis's 22.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Nicole Malliotakis benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for NY-11, Nicole Malliotakis (R) won with 57.4% of the vote, defeating Max N. Rose (D) who received 38.2%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Nicole Malliotakis's 19.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Nicole Malliotakis benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Nicole Malliotakis benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2020 House race for NY-11, Nicole Malliotakis (R) won with 48.9% of the vote, defeating Max N. Rose (D) who received 45.9%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 3.0-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

Nicole Malliotakis defeated the incumbent Max N. Rose (D), which is a significant political event — most incumbents win re-election by wide margins. This was a general election upset. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.