Elise M. Stefanik

In the 2024 House race for NY-21, Elise M. Stefanik (R) won with 56.1% of the vote, defeating Paula Collins (D) who received 34.8%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Elise M. Stefanik's 21.3-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Elise M. Stefanik benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for NY-21, Elise M. Stefanik (R) won with 52.8% of the vote, defeating Matt Castelli (D) who received 39.5%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Elise M. Stefanik's 13.3-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Elise M. Stefanik benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Elise M. Stefanik benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2020 House race for NY-21, Elise M. Stefanik (R) won with 52.9% of the vote, defeating Tedra Cobb (D) who received 38.2%. 6 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Elise M. Stefanik's 14.7-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2018 House race for NY-21, Elise M. Stefanik (R) won with 49.5% of the vote, defeating Tedra L. Cobb (D) who received 39.7%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Elise M. Stefanik's 9.8-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Elise M. Stefanik won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for NY-21, Blank Vote (O) won with 5.5% of the vote, defeating Elise M. Stefanik (c) who received 5.4%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 0.1-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for NY-21, Matthew J. Funiciello (G) won with 10.6% of the vote, defeating Blank Vote/void Vote/scattering (O) who received 3.9%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Matthew J. Funiciello's 6.7-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Green, Matthew J. Funiciello benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.