Ron Estes

In the 2024 House race for KS-4, Ron Estes (R) defeated Esau Freeman (D) 65.0% to 35.0%. Ron Estes received 198,465 votes compared to 106,632 for Esau Freeman, a dominant 30.1-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Ron Estes benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for KS-4, Ron Estes (R) defeated Bob Hernandez (D) 63.3% to 36.7%. Ron Estes received 144,889 votes compared to 83,851 for Bob Hernandez, a dominant 26.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Ron Estes benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Ron Estes benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for KS-4, Ron Estes (R) defeated Laura Lombard (D) 63.6% to 36.4%. Ron Estes received 203,432 votes compared to 116,166 for Laura Lombard, a dominant 27.3-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for KS-04, Ron Estes (R) defeated James A. Thompson (D) 59.4% to 40.6%. Ron Estes received 144,248 votes compared to 98,445 for James A. Thompson, a comfortable 18.9-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Mike Pompeo (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Ron Estes won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).