Robin L. Kelly

In the 2024 House race for IL-2, Robin Kelly (D) won with 67.5% of the vote, defeating Ashley Ramos (R) who received 32.4%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Robin Kelly's 35.1-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Robin Kelly benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for IL-2, Robin Kelly (D) defeated Thomas Lynch (R) 67.1% to 32.9%. Robin Kelly received 140,414 votes compared to 68,761 for Thomas Lynch, a dominant 34.3-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Robin Kelly benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Robin Kelly won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for IL-2, Robin Kelly (D) defeated Theresa J. Raborn (R) 78.8% to 21.2%. Robin Kelly received 234,896 votes compared to 63,142 for Theresa J. Raborn, a dominant 57.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for IL-02, Robin Kelly (D) defeated David Merkle (R) 81.1% to 18.9%. Robin Kelly received 190,684 votes compared to 44,567 for David Merkle, a dominant 62.1-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Robin Kelly benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Robin Kelly benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2016 House race for IL-02, Robin L. Kelly (D) defeated John F. Morrow (R) 79.8% to 20.2%. Robin L. Kelly received 235,051 votes compared to 59,471 for John F. Morrow, a dominant 59.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Robin L. Kelly benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for IL-02, Robin L. Kelly (D) defeated Eric M. Wallace (R) 78.5% to 21.4%. Robin L. Kelly received 160,337 votes compared to 43,799 for Eric M. Wallace, a dominant 57.0-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Jesse L. Jackson, Jr. (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Robin L. Kelly won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Obama was in office).