Jerrold Nadler

In the 2024 House race for NY-12, Jerry Nadler (D) won with 75.0% of the vote, defeating Mike Zumbluskas (R) who received 19.4%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Jerry Nadler's 55.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Jerry Nadler benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for NY-12, Jerry Nadler (D) won with 75.1% of the vote, defeating Mike Zumbluskas (R) who received 16.7%. 7 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Jerry Nadler's 58.5-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Carolyn B. Maloney (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Jerry Nadler won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for NY-10, Jerrold L. Nadler (D) defeated Naomi Levin (R) 76.8% to 16.0%. Jerrold L. Nadler received 162,131 votes compared to 33,692 for Naomi Levin, a dominant 60.9-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Jerrold L. Nadler benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.